SPSS OUTPUT

Logistic Regression: Model 1




      Total number of cases:      196 (Unweighted)
      Number of selected cases:   196
      Number of unselected cases: 0

      Number of selected cases:                 196
      Number rejected because of missing data:  0
      Number of cases included in the analysis: 196



Dependent Variable Encoding:

Original       Internal
Value          Value
0              0
1              1



Dependent Variable..   YES        Would have taken trips in 1991 if cost of all
trips is $[cost] more?

Beginning Block Number  0.  Initial Log Likelihood Function

-2 Log Likelihood   270.0583

* Constant is included in the model.


Beginning Block Number  1.  Method: Enter

Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
1..       COST      Increase in the total cost of taking trips

Estimation terminated at iteration number 3 because
parameter estimates changed by less than .001

 -2 Log Likelihood      255.570
 Goodness of Fit        196.083
 Cox & Snell - R^2         .071
 Nagelkerke - R^2          .095

                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model                   14.488     1        .0001
 Block                   14.488     1        .0001
 Step                    14.488     1        .0001

Classification Table for YES
The Cut Value is .50
                   Predicted
                  No      Yes     Percent Correct
                    N  I    Y
Observed       +-------+-------+
   No      N   I   26  I   63  I   29.21%
               +-------+-------+
   Yes     Y   I   14  I   93  I   86.92%
               +-------+-------+
                          Overall  60.71%

---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R    Exp(B)

COST          -.0019     .0005  13.4326     1    .0002  -.2058     .9981
Constant       .9767     .2619  13.9103     1    .0002

Logistic Regression: Model 2




      Total number of cases:      196 (Unweighted)
      Number of selected cases:   196
      Number of unselected cases: 0

      Number of selected cases:                 196
      Number rejected because of missing data:  0
      Number of cases included in the analysis: 196



Dependent Variable Encoding:

Original       Internal
Value          Value
0              0
1              1



Dependent Variable..   YES        Would have taken trips in 1991 if cost of all
trips is $[cost] more?

Beginning Block Number  0.  Initial Log Likelihood Function

-2 Log Likelihood   270.0583

* Constant is included in the model.


Beginning Block Number  1.  Method: Enter

Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
1..       COST      Increase in the total cost of taking trips

Estimation terminated at iteration number 3 because
parameter estimates changed by less than .001

 -2 Log Likelihood      255.570
 Goodness of Fit        196.083
 Cox & Snell - R^2         .071
 Nagelkerke - R^2          .095

                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model                   14.488     1        .0001
 Block                   14.488     1        .0001
 Step                    14.488     1        .0001

Classification Table for YES
The Cut Value is .50
                   Predicted
                  No      Yes     Percent Correct
                    N  I    Y
Observed       +-------+-------+
   No      N   I   26  I   63  I   29.21%
               +-------+-------+
   Yes     Y   I   14  I   93  I   86.92%
               +-------+-------+
                          Overall  60.71%

---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R    Exp(B)

COST          -.0019     .0005  13.4326     1    .0002  -.2058     .9981
Constant       .9767     .2619  13.9103     1    .0002


Beginning Block Number  2.  Method: Enter

Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
1..       CATCH     About how many bass-trout did you catch in 1991
          INCOME    annual income (in thousands)




Estimation terminated at iteration number 4 because
parameter estimates changed by less than .001

 -2 Log Likelihood      241.691
 Goodness of Fit        200.974
 Cox & Snell - R^2         .135
 Nagelkerke - R^2          .180

                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model                   28.367     3        .0000
 Block                   13.879     2        .0010
 Step                    13.879     2        .0010

Classification Table for YES
The Cut Value is .50
                   Predicted
                  No      Yes     Percent Correct
                    N  I    Y
Observed       +-------+-------+
   No      N   I   53  I   36  I   59.55%
               +-------+-------+
   Yes     Y   I   28  I   79  I   73.83%
               +-------+-------+
                          Overall  67.35%

---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R    Exp(B)

COST          -.0020     .0005  13.3348     1    .0003  -.2106     .9980
CATCH          .0057     .0023   6.0436     1    .0140   .1258    1.0057
INCOME         .0166     .0085   3.7664     1    .0523   .0831    1.0167
Constant       .1040     .4102    .0643     1    .7999

Logistic Regression: Model 3




      Total number of cases:      196 (Unweighted)
      Number of selected cases:   196
      Number of unselected cases: 0

      Number of selected cases:                 196
      Number rejected because of missing data:  0
      Number of cases included in the analysis: 196



Dependent Variable Encoding:

Original       Internal
Value          Value
0              0
1              1



Dependent Variable..   YES        Would have taken trips in 1991 if cost of all
trips is $[cost] more?

Beginning Block Number  0.  Initial Log Likelihood Function

-2 Log Likelihood   270.0583

* Constant is included in the model.


Beginning Block Number  1.  Method: Enter

Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
1..       COST      Increase in the total cost of taking trips
          CATCH     About how many bass-trout did you catch in 1991
          INCOME    annual income (in thousands)

Estimation terminated at iteration number 4 because
parameter estimates changed by less than .001

 -2 Log Likelihood      241.691
 Goodness of Fit        200.974
 Cox & Snell - R^2         .135
 Nagelkerke - R^2          .180

                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model                   28.367     3        .0000
 Block                   28.367     3        .0000
 Step                    28.367     3        .0000

Classification Table for YES
The Cut Value is .50
                   Predicted
                  No      Yes     Percent Correct
                    N  I    Y
Observed       +-------+-------+
   No      N   I   53  I   36  I   59.55%
               +-------+-------+
   Yes     Y   I   28  I   79  I   73.83%
               +-------+-------+
                          Overall  67.35%

---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R    Exp(B)

COST          -.0020     .0005  13.3348     1    .0003  -.2049     .9980
CATCH          .0057     .0023   6.0436     1    .0140   .1224    1.0057
INCOME         .0166     .0085   3.7664     1    .0523   .0809    1.0167
Constant       .1040     .4102    .0643     1    .7999


Beginning Block Number  2.  Method: Enter




Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
1..       EDUCATIO  Years of completed schooling
          MARRIED   Marital Status
          SEX       Sex of respondent
          AGE       Age of Respondent
          EMPLOYED  Has a job-business

Estimation terminated at iteration number 4 because
Log Likelihood decreased by less than .01 percent.

 -2 Log Likelihood      230.301
 Goodness of Fit        197.233
 Cox & Snell - R^2         .184
 Nagelkerke - R^2          .245

                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model                   39.758     8        .0000
 Block                   11.390     5        .0442
 Step                    11.390     5        .0442

Classification Table for YES
The Cut Value is .50
                   Predicted
                  No      Yes     Percent Correct
                    N  I    Y
Observed       +-------+-------+
   No      N   I   52  I   37  I   58.43%
               +-------+-------+
   Yes     Y   I   25  I   82  I   76.64%
               +-------+-------+
                          Overall  68.37%




---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R    Exp(B)

COST          -.0018     .0006  10.0119     1    .0016  -.1821     .9982
CATCH          .0059     .0023   6.6256     1    .0101   .1383    1.0059
INCOME         .0153     .0099   2.3922     1    .1219   .0403    1.0155
EDUCATIO      -.0760     .0620   1.5017     1    .2204   .0000     .9268
MARRIED        .3666     .4012    .8349     1    .3609   .0000    1.4428
SEX            .9826     .4753   4.2743     1    .0387   .0970    2.6715
AGE           -.0045     .0156    .0817     1    .7750   .0000     .9956
EMPLOYED      1.3769     .5973   5.3145     1    .0211   .1171    3.9625
Constant      -.4473    1.1585    .1491     1    .6994

Logistic Regression: Model 3 with C.I. for Odds Ratio




      Total number of cases:      196 (Unweighted)
      Number of selected cases:   196
      Number of unselected cases: 0

      Number of selected cases:                 196
      Number rejected because of missing data:  0
      Number of cases included in the analysis: 196



Dependent Variable Encoding:

Original       Internal
Value          Value
0              0
1              1



Dependent Variable..   YES        Would have taken trips in 1991 if cost of all
trips is $[cost] more?

Beginning Block Number  0.  Initial Log Likelihood Function

-2 Log Likelihood   270.0583

* Constant is included in the model.


Beginning Block Number  1.  Method: Enter

Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
1..       COST      Increase in the total cost of taking trips
          CATCH     About how many bass-trout did you catch in 1991
          INCOME    annual income (in thousands)
          EMPLOYED  Has a job-business
          EDUCATIO  Years of completed schooling
          MARRIED   Marital Status
          SEX       Sex of respondent
          AGE       Age of Respondent

Estimation terminated at iteration number 4 because
Log Likelihood decreased by less than .01 percent.

 -2 Log Likelihood      230.301
 Goodness of Fit        197.233
 Cox & Snell - R^2         .184
 Nagelkerke - R^2          .245

                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model                   39.758     8        .0000
 Block                   39.758     8        .0000
 Step                    39.758     8        .0000

Classification Table for YES
The Cut Value is .50
                   Predicted
                  No      Yes     Percent Correct
                    N  I    Y
Observed       +-------+-------+
   No      N   I   52  I   37  I   58.43%
               +-------+-------+
   Yes     Y   I   25  I   82  I   76.64%
               +-------+-------+
                          Overall  68.37%




----------------- Variables in the Equation ------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R

COST          -.0018     .0006  10.0119     1    .0016  -.1722
CATCH          .0059     .0023   6.6256     1    .0101   .1309
INCOME         .0153     .0099   2.3922     1    .1219   .0381
EMPLOYED      1.3769     .5973   5.3145     1    .0211   .1108
EDUCATIO      -.0760     .0620   1.5017     1    .2204   .0000
MARRIED        .3666     .4012    .8349     1    .3609   .0000
SEX            .9826     .4753   4.2743     1    .0387   .0918
AGE           -.0045     .0156    .0817     1    .7750   .0000
Constant      -.4473    1.1585    .1491     1    .6994


                        95% CI for Exp(B)
Variable       Exp(B)     Lower     Upper

COST            .9982     .9971     .9993
CATCH          1.0059    1.0014    1.0104
INCOME         1.0155     .9959    1.0354
EMPLOYED       3.9625    1.2291   12.7751
EDUCATIO        .9268     .8207    1.0466
MARRIED        1.4428     .6572    3.1675
SEX            2.6715    1.0524    6.7816
AGE             .9956     .9656    1.0264

Logistic Regression: Model 3 (NC=1)




      Total number of cases:      196 (Unweighted)
      Number of selected cases:   108
      Number of unselected cases: 88

      Number of selected cases:                 108
      Number rejected because of missing data:  0
      Number of cases included in the analysis: 108



Dependent Variable Encoding:

Original       Internal
Value          Value
0              0
1              1



Dependent Variable..   YES        Would have taken trips in 1991 if cost of all
trips is $[cost] more?

Beginning Block Number  0.  Initial Log Likelihood Function

-2 Log Likelihood   149.71979

* Constant is included in the model.


Beginning Block Number  1.  Method: Enter

Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
1..       COST      Increase in the total cost of taking trips
          CATCH     About how many bass-trout did you catch in 1991
          INCOME    annual income (in thousands)
          EMPLOYED  Has a job-business
          EDUCATIO  Years of completed schooling
          MARRIED   Marital Status
          SEX       Sex of respondent
          AGE       Age of Respondent

Estimation terminated at iteration number 4 because
Log Likelihood decreased by less than .01 percent.

 -2 Log Likelihood      122.848
 Goodness of Fit        106.283
 Cox & Snell - R^2         .220
 Nagelkerke - R^2          .294

                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model                   26.872     8        .0007
 Block                   26.872     8        .0007
 Step                    26.872     8        .0007

Classification Table for YES
The Cut Value is .50
Selected cases NC EQ 1

                   Predicted
                  No      Yes     Percent Correct
                    N  I    Y
Observed       +-------+-------+
   No      N   I   36  I   18  I   66.67%
               +-------+-------+
   Yes     Y   I   17  I   37  I   68.52%
               +-------+-------+
                          Overall  67.59%




Classification Table for YES
The Cut Value is .50
Unselected cases NC NE 1

                   Predicted
                  No      Yes     Percent Correct
                    N  I    Y
Observed       +-------+-------+
   No      N   I   21  I   14  I   60.00%
               +-------+-------+
   Yes     Y   I   20  I   33  I   62.26%
               +-------+-------+
                          Overall  61.36%

----------------- Variables in the Equation ------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R

COST          -.0021     .0008   6.4549     1    .0111  -.1725
CATCH          .0051     .0027   3.5632     1    .0591   .1022
INCOME         .0154     .0132   1.3629     1    .2430   .0000
EMPLOYED      1.9155     .8994   4.5357     1    .0332   .1301
EDUCATIO      -.0873     .0873    .9991     1    .3175   .0000
MARRIED        .2419     .5380    .2023     1    .6529   .0000
SEX           1.0829     .6624   2.6730     1    .1021   .0670
AGE            .0195     .0221    .7774     1    .3779   .0000
Constant     -1.6041    1.5765   1.0353     1    .3089


                        95% CI for Exp(B)
Variable       Exp(B)     Lower     Upper

COST            .9979     .9963     .9995
CATCH          1.0051     .9998    1.0104
INCOME         1.0156     .9896    1.0423
EMPLOYED       6.7903    1.1650   39.5787
EDUCATIO        .9164     .7722    1.0875
MARRIED        1.2737     .4438    3.6560
SEX            2.9532     .8063   10.8168
AGE            1.0196     .9765    1.0647

Logistic Regression: Model 3 (NC=0)




      Total number of cases:      196 (Unweighted)
      Number of selected cases:   88
      Number of unselected cases: 108

      Number of selected cases:                 88
      Number rejected because of missing data:  0
      Number of cases included in the analysis: 88



Dependent Variable Encoding:

Original       Internal
Value          Value
0              0
1              1



Dependent Variable..   YES        Would have taken trips in 1991 if cost of all
trips is $[cost] more?

Beginning Block Number  0.  Initial Log Likelihood Function

-2 Log Likelihood   118.28597

* Constant is included in the model.


Beginning Block Number  1.  Method: Enter

Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
1..       COST      Increase in the total cost of taking trips
          CATCH     About how many bass-trout did you catch in 1991
          INCOME    annual income (in thousands)
          EMPLOYED  Has a job-business
          EDUCATIO  Years of completed schooling
          MARRIED   Marital Status
          SEX       Sex of respondent
          AGE       Age of Respondent

Estimation terminated at iteration number 4 because
Log Likelihood decreased by less than .01 percent.

 -2 Log Likelihood      101.644
 Goodness of Fit         87.096
 Cox & Snell - R^2         .172
 Nagelkerke - R^2          .233

                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model                   16.641     8        .0341
 Block                   16.641     8        .0341
 Step                    16.641     8        .0341

Classification Table for YES
The Cut Value is .50
Selected cases NC EQ 0

                   Predicted
                  No      Yes     Percent Correct
                    N  I    Y
Observed       +-------+-------+
   No      N   I   17  I   18  I   48.57%
               +-------+-------+
   Yes     Y   I    8  I   45  I   84.91%
               +-------+-------+
                          Overall  70.45%




Classification Table for YES
The Cut Value is .50
Unselected cases NC NE 0

                   Predicted
                  No      Yes     Percent Correct
                    N  I    Y
Observed       +-------+-------+
   No      N   I   24  I   30  I   44.44%
               +-------+-------+
   Yes     Y   I    5  I   49  I   90.74%
               +-------+-------+
                          Overall  67.59%

----------------- Variables in the Equation ------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R

COST          -.0018     .0009   4.3435     1    .0372  -.1408
CATCH          .0076     .0043   3.1321     1    .0768   .0978
INCOME         .0062     .0165    .1432     1    .7051   .0000
EMPLOYED       .9334     .8417   1.2297     1    .2675   .0000
EDUCATIO      -.0651     .0958    .4610     1    .4972   .0000
MARRIED        .4865     .6659    .5338     1    .4650   .0000
SEX            .7256     .7191   1.0182     1    .3130   .0000
AGE           -.0348     .0247   1.9863     1    .1587   .0000
Constant      1.4162    1.9127    .5482     1    .4591


                        95% CI for Exp(B)
Variable       Exp(B)     Lower     Upper

COST            .9982     .9965     .9999
CATCH          1.0076     .9992    1.0160
INCOME         1.0062     .9743    1.0392
EMPLOYED       2.5431     .4885   13.2385
EDUCATIO        .9370     .7766    1.1306
MARRIED        1.6267     .4410    5.9997
SEX            2.0660     .5047    8.4577
AGE             .9658     .9202    1.0137