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Contact Information:
Department of Economics
Appalachian State University
Walker College of Business
Boone, NC 28608

Office: 3107 Peacock Hall
Phone: (282) 262-2117
Fax: (282) 262-6105
Email: [email protected]
Web-page: http://www.appstate.edu/~molodtsovat/

Research Interests:

International Macroeconomics, International Finance, Forecasting, Time Series Econometrics

Published Papers:

“Rationality and Forecasting Accuracy of Exchange Rate Expectations: Evidence from Survey-Based Forecasts”, with Onur Ince, forthcoming, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions, and Money , 2016

“Taylor Rule Deviations and Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability”, with David Papell, forthcoming, Journal of International Money and Finance , 2016

“Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting during the Financial Crisis”, with David Papell, NBER Working Paper #18330, NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2012, Volume 9, The University of Chicago Press, Francesco Giavazzi and Kenneth D. West, eds., 2013

“Macroeconomic Prospects of China’s Outward FDI”, with Ilan Alon and Jian Zhang, Transnational Corporations Review 4(2), June 2012, pp. 16-40

“Taylor Rules and The Euro”, with Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy and David Papell, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 43 (2-3), 2011, pp. 535-552

“Taylor Rules with Real-Time Data: A Tale of Two Countries and One Exchange Rate”, with Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy and David Papell, Journal of Monetary Economics 55, 2008, pp.S63-S79

“Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability with Taylor Rule Fundamentals”, with David Papell, Journal of International Economics 77, 2009, pp.167-180

Working Papers:

“Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability with Real-Time Data”, with Onur Ince, 2016, Under Review

“Stock Return Predictability and Taylor Rules”, with Onur Ince and Lei Jiang, 2016, Under Review

“Testing Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Using Survey-Based Expectations”, with Levent Bulut and Onur Ince, 2016

Teaching

Fall 2016: Principles of Macroeconomics (ECO 2040) and Intermediate Macroeconomics (ECO 3040)

Summer 2016: Principles of Macroeconomics (ECO 2040)

Spring 2016: Principles of Macroeconomics (ECO 2040) and Forecasting and Time Series (ECO 5740)

Fall 2015: Principles of Macroeconomics (ECO 2040) and Intermediate Macroeconomics (ECO 3040)

Summer 2015: Principles of Macroeconomics (ECO 2040)

Spring 2015: Principles of Macroeconomics (ECO 2040) and Forecasting and Time Series (ECO 5740)

Fall 2014: Principles of Macroeconomics (ECO 2040) and Intermediate Macroeconomics (ECO 3040)

Summer 2014: Principles of Macroeconomics (ECO 2040)

Spring 2014: Principles of Macroeconomics (ECO 2040) and Intermediate Macroeconomics (ECO 3040)

Fall 2013: Principles of Macroeconomics (ECO 2040)

Spring 2012: International Finance (ECON 432) and Econometrics (ECON 420)

Spring 2012: International Finance (ECON 432)

Fall 2011: Econometrics (ECON 420)

Spring 2011: Economic Forecasting (ECON 422), Independent Study (Monetary Policy during the Financial Crisis of 2007-2009)

Fall 2010: Econometrics (ECON 420) and International Finance (ECON 432)

Professional Affiliations

I am affiliated with American Economic Association, Econometric Society, Committee on the Status of Women in the Economics Profession, Euro Area Business Cycle Network, International Institute of Forecasters, and Southern Economic Association